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Small Arms Market

ID: MRFR/AD/5736-CR
158 Pages
Sejal Akre
November 2023

Small Arms Market Size, Share, Industry Trend & Analysis Research Report Information By Type (Handguns {Pistols and Revolvers}, Shortguns, Machine Guns, Rifles & Others), By Barrel (Rifled-Bore and Smooth-Bore), By Operation (Self-Loading Firearm {Automatic Firearm and Semi-Automatic Firearm} and Manually-Operated Firearm), By End User(Armed Forces, Law Enforcement, Sporting & Hunting Civilian Self-Defense) And By Region (North America, Europe, Asia-Pacific, Middle East & Africa and South Ameria) – Forecast Till 2035

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Small Arms Market Summary

As per MRFR analysis, the Small Arms Market Size was estimated at 10057.69 USD Million in 2024. The Small Arms industry is projected to grow from 10612.9 in 2025 to 18163.18 by 2035, exhibiting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 5.52 during the forecast period 2025 - 2035.

Key Market Trends & Highlights

The Small Arms Market is experiencing a dynamic shift driven by technological advancements and evolving consumer preferences.

  • Technological advancements are reshaping the Small Arms Market, enhancing performance and user experience.
  • Customization and personalization are increasingly sought after, particularly in the civilian segment, reflecting changing consumer demands.
  • North America remains the largest market, while the Asia-Pacific region is emerging as the fastest-growing area for small arms.
  • Rising defense budgets and geopolitical tensions are significant drivers propelling growth in both military and civilian segments.

Market Size & Forecast

2024 Market Size 10057.69 (USD Million)
2035 Market Size 18163.18 (USD Million)
CAGR (2025 - 2035) 5.52%

Major Players

Lockheed Martin (US), Northrop Grumman (US), General Dynamics (US), BAE Systems (GB), Rheinmetall (DE), Thales Group (FR), FN Herstal (BE), SIG Sauer (DE), Beretta (IT)

Small Arms Market Trends

The Small Arms Market is currently experiencing a dynamic evolution, influenced by various geopolitical factors and technological advancements. The demand for small arms is driven by military, law enforcement, and civilian sectors, each exhibiting distinct requirements and preferences. As nations continue to modernize their defense capabilities, the emphasis on advanced weaponry and precision firearms has intensified. Furthermore, the rise in global security concerns has prompted governments to invest in enhancing their arsenals, thereby stimulating market growth. In addition, the proliferation of non-state actors and asymmetric warfare has led to an increased focus on compact and versatile small arms, catering to diverse operational needs. Moreover, the Small Arms Market is witnessing a shift towards customization and personalization, as consumers seek firearms that align with their specific needs and preferences. Manufacturers are responding by offering modular designs and innovative features, which enhance user experience and operational efficiency. The integration of smart technologies, such as biometric systems and advanced optics, is also becoming more prevalent, indicating a trend towards modernization. As the market continues to evolve, it is essential to monitor these trends closely, as they may shape the future landscape of small arms production and distribution.

Technological Advancements

The Small Arms Market is increasingly influenced by technological innovations, which enhance the performance and functionality of firearms. Manufacturers are integrating advanced materials and smart technologies, leading to lighter, more durable, and efficient weapons. This trend reflects a broader movement towards modernization in military and civilian applications.

Customization and Personalization

There is a growing demand for customized small arms, as consumers seek firearms tailored to their specific needs. This trend is prompting manufacturers to offer modular designs and various accessories, allowing users to modify their weapons for improved performance and comfort. Such personalization enhances user satisfaction and operational effectiveness.

Increased Focus on Security

The global emphasis on security has led to heightened investments in small arms by governments and law enforcement agencies. This trend is driven by the need to address emerging threats and enhance public safety. As a result, the Small Arms Market is likely to expand, with a focus on developing advanced weaponry to meet evolving security challenges.

Small Arms Market Drivers

Civilian Demand for Firearms

The Global Small Arms Industry is also influenced by the rising civilian demand for firearms. Factors such as personal safety concerns, hunting, and sport shooting contribute to this trend. In many countries, there is a growing acceptance of firearm ownership, leading to increased sales of small arms to civilians. For instance, the number of registered firearms in the United States has reached over 400 million, reflecting a robust civilian market. This demand is expected to sustain the growth of the industry, as manufacturers adapt their offerings to meet the needs of civilian customers.

Rising Global Defense Budgets

The Global Small Arms Industry is experiencing growth driven by increasing defense budgets across various nations. Countries are prioritizing military modernization and enhancing their defense capabilities, leading to a surge in demand for small arms. For instance, the global defense spending is projected to reach approximately 2.1 trillion USD in 2024, with a significant portion allocated to small arms procurement. This trend indicates a robust market environment, as governments seek to bolster their military readiness in response to evolving security threats. As a result, the Global Small Arms Industry is anticipated to grow to 10.1 USD Billion in 2024.

Regulatory Changes and Policies

Regulatory changes and policies play a significant role in shaping the Global Small Arms Industry. Governments are continuously revising their firearms regulations, which can either facilitate or hinder market growth. For example, some countries are implementing stricter controls on firearm sales, while others are easing restrictions to promote civilian ownership. These regulatory environments can create opportunities for manufacturers to expand their market presence or adapt their strategies accordingly. As such, understanding the regulatory landscape is crucial for stakeholders in the Global Small Arms Industry.

Escalating Geopolitical Tensions

Geopolitical tensions are a critical driver of the Global Small Arms Industry. Ongoing conflicts and territorial disputes in regions such as Eastern Europe and the Middle East have heightened the demand for small arms. Nations are increasingly investing in their military capabilities to address perceived threats, which in turn fuels the small arms market. For example, the conflict in Ukraine has prompted neighboring countries to enhance their military arsenals. This environment of uncertainty is likely to sustain the market's growth trajectory, with projections indicating an increase to 18.1 USD Billion by 2035.

Technological Advancements in Small Arms

Technological advancements are reshaping the Global Small Arms Industry, leading to the development of more efficient and effective weaponry. Innovations such as smart ammunition, modular weapon systems, and enhanced targeting technologies are becoming increasingly prevalent. These advancements not only improve the operational capabilities of small arms but also attract investment from defense contractors and governments alike. As a result, the market is poised for growth, with a projected compound annual growth rate of 5.5% from 2025 to 2035. This trend underscores the importance of technological innovation in driving market dynamics.

Market Segment Insights

By Application: Military (Largest) vs. Civilian (Fastest-Growing)

In the Small Arms Market, the application segment is notably diverse, comprising military, law enforcement, and civilian sectors. The military application holds the largest market share, driven by ongoing defense spend and modernization efforts across various countries. Law enforcement also contributes significantly, albeit to a lesser extent, while the civilian segment is rapidly expanding, fueled by increasing gun ownership rates and self-defense awareness.

Military (Dominant) vs. Civilian (Emerging)

The military segment remains the dominant force in the Small Arms Market, characterized by large-scale procurement and advanced weaponry requirements. This segment is primarily driven by national defense initiatives and technological advancements. Law enforcement, while contributing less to overall market share, serves a crucial role in maintaining public safety and security. In contrast, the civilian segment is emerging rapidly, marked by a growing desire for personal security and recreational shooting. This trend indicates that the civilian sector may soon become a key player in shaping market dynamics.

By Type: Handguns (Largest) vs. Rifles (Fastest-Growing)

In the Small Arms Market, handguns hold the largest share, reflecting their popularity among civilian and law enforcement users for self-defense and security purposes. Conversely, rifles, particularly tactical and hunting models, are experiencing significant growth due to an increase in outdoor activities, hunting interests, and tactical training. The evolving firearm culture and various innovations in rifle technology further contribute to their rising market presence. Growth trends in the segment reveal a shift towards customization and versatility, driving demand for both handguns and rifles. The increasing focus on personal safety and recreational shooting, coupled with government initiatives supporting firearm ownership, enhances market dynamics. Additionally, the introduction of smart gun technologies and ergonomic designs caters to a broader audience, amplifying growth for the rifle segment.

Handguns (Dominant) vs. Rifles (Emerging)

Handguns serve as the dominant segment in the Small Arms Market, appealing to a wide demographic due to their ease of use, concealability, and various styles available, from revolvers to semi-automatics. This segment is particularly influenced by urban lifestyle trends that necessitate personal defense solutions. On the other hand, rifles are emerging as a key player, favored for their performance in both tactical and sporting applications. The growing trend of long-range shooting and the surge in hunting as a leisure activity have led to innovations in rifle design and personalization options. Companies are investing in advanced materials and modular systems, making rifles more adaptable and attractive, thereby enhancing their standing in the marketplace.

By Caliber: Small Caliber (Largest) vs. Large Caliber (Fastest-Growing)

In the Small Arms Market, the small caliber segment dominates the landscape, capturing a significant portion of the overall market share. This segment is characterized by its widespread use in civilian, law enforcement, and military applications, particularly for handguns and small firearms. In comparison, the large caliber segment, while smaller, is experiencing rapid growth due to increasing military expenditure and the demand for advanced weaponry systems in defense operations.

Small Caliber (Dominant) vs. Large Caliber (Emerging)

The small caliber segment plays a pivotal role in the Small Arms Market, widely recognized for its dominance in terms of sales volume and usage across various sectors. This segment encompasses ammunition used in pistols and submachine guns, appealing to both civilian and professional users. On the other hand, the large caliber segment is noted for its emerging position, driven by advancements in technology and a surge in military acquisitions. Its applications in heavy machine guns and artillery systems are accelerating interest, making it a focal point for defense contracts and innovations that enhance firepower.

By Material: Steel (Largest) vs. Polymer (Fastest-Growing)

The Small Arms Market exhibits a diverse material segment, with steel being the largest component. It holds significant market share due to its durability and strength, making it a preferred choice for manufacturers of firearms and ammunition. In contrast, polymer materials have emerged as a fast-growing alternative, appealing to both manufacturers and consumers looking for lightweight and corrosion-resistant options. As the market evolves, the distribution of shares indicates a shift towards innovative materials that enhance the functionality and usability of small arms.

Steel (Dominant) vs. Polymer (Emerging)

Steel remains the dominant material in the small arms market, prized for its robustness and efficiency in handling high-impact forces. It serves as the primary material for many firearm components, offering a reliable performance under various conditions. Meanwhile, polymer has emerged as an innovative substitute, especially among modern firearm designs. It is favored for its lightweight nature, which contributes to ease of use and portability. As manufacturers increasingly focus on reducing weight without compromising performance, polymer's role in both the production and design of firearms is expected to accelerate, appealing to a wider range of users, including military, law enforcement, and recreational shooters.

By Operation Mechanism: Semi-Automatic (Largest) vs. Automatic (Fastest-Growing)

The Small Arms Market is characterized by distinct operation mechanisms, with semi-automatic firearms commanding the largest market share. This popularity is driven by their ability to balance ease of use and fire rate, making them a preferred choice for both civilian and law enforcement applications. In contrast, manual firearms, while still relevant, have seen a gradual decline in market presence due to their slower operation and reloading processes compared to their semi-automatic counterparts. Growth trends indicate that automatic firearms are emerging as the fastest-growing segment, propelled by advancements in technology and increased demand from military and special forces operations. The rise in global security concerns and modernization of armed forces have led to a greater emphasis on automatic weapons, positioning them as essential tools in contemporary combat and tactical scenarios.

Semi-Automatic (Dominant) vs. Automatic (Emerging)

Semi-automatic firearms dominate the Small Arms Market due to their versatility and user-friendly nature. They allow for rapid firing without the need for manual reloading after each shot, appealing to both recreational shooters and law enforcement agencies. These features enhance their operational efficiency, making them ideal for self-defense and competitive shooting. On the other hand, automatic firearms are rapidly emerging, driven by increased military spending and a focus on advanced weaponry. These firearms are designed for sustained fire and flexibility in tactical applications, making them crucial for modern warfare. Their growing adoption by special operations forces showcases their value in intense combat situations, thus highlighting a significant trend towards enhanced firepower and reliability.

Get more detailed insights about Small Arms Market

Regional Insights

North America : Market Leader in Small Arms

North America continues to lead the small arms market, holding a significant share of approximately 5050.0 million. The region's growth is driven by increasing defense budgets, technological advancements, and a strong focus on military modernization. Regulatory support and government initiatives further enhance market dynamics, fostering innovation and demand for advanced weaponry. The United States remains the dominant player, with key companies like Lockheed Martin, Northrop Grumman, and General Dynamics leading the charge. The competitive landscape is characterized by a mix of established defense contractors and emerging firms, all vying for a share of the lucrative market. The presence of these key players ensures a robust supply chain and continuous advancements in small arms technology.

Europe : Emerging Market with Growth Potential

Europe's small arms market is valued at approximately 3000.0 million, driven by increasing geopolitical tensions and a renewed focus on defense capabilities. Countries are investing heavily in modernizing their armed forces, which is expected to boost demand for small arms. Regulatory frameworks are evolving to support innovation while ensuring compliance with international standards. Leading countries in this region include Germany, France, and the UK, where companies like Rheinmetall and BAE Systems are prominent. The competitive landscape is marked by collaboration between defense contractors and government entities, enhancing research and development efforts. This synergy is crucial for maintaining a competitive edge in the global market.

Asia-Pacific : Growing Demand in Emerging Markets

The Asia-Pacific small arms market, valued at around 1500.0 million, is witnessing rapid growth due to rising defense expenditures and increasing internal security concerns. Countries in this region are enhancing their military capabilities, which is driving demand for advanced small arms. Regulatory frameworks are being updated to facilitate procurement processes and ensure compliance with international norms. Key players in this market include countries like India, China, and Japan, where local manufacturers are increasingly collaborating with global defense firms. The competitive landscape is evolving, with a mix of established companies and new entrants striving to capture market share. This dynamic environment is fostering innovation and technological advancements in small arms production.

Middle East and Africa : Emerging Market with Unique Challenges

The Middle East and Africa small arms market, valued at approximately 507.69 million, is characterized by unique challenges and opportunities. The region faces ongoing security threats, prompting governments to invest in military capabilities. This demand is further supported by international partnerships and arms trade agreements, which are crucial for enhancing local defense industries. Leading countries include South Africa and the UAE, where local manufacturers are increasingly collaborating with international firms to boost production capabilities. The competitive landscape is marked by a mix of established players and emerging companies, all striving to meet the growing demand for small arms. This environment presents significant opportunities for innovation and market expansion.

Small Arms Market Regional Image

Key Players and Competitive Insights

The Small Arms Market is characterized by a dynamic competitive landscape, driven by technological advancements, geopolitical tensions, and evolving defense strategies. Key players such as Lockheed Martin (US), Rheinmetall (DE), and SIG Sauer (DE) are at the forefront, each adopting distinct strategies to enhance their market positioning. Lockheed Martin (US) focuses on innovation and digital transformation, investing heavily in R&D to develop next-generation weaponry. Rheinmetall (DE) emphasizes regional expansion, particularly in Europe, to capitalize on increasing defense budgets. Meanwhile, SIG Sauer (DE) is leveraging partnerships with military organizations to tailor its offerings, thereby enhancing its competitive edge.The market structure appears moderately fragmented, with a mix of established players and emerging companies. Key tactics such as localizing manufacturing and optimizing supply chains are prevalent among major firms, allowing them to respond swiftly to market demands and geopolitical shifts. The collective influence of these players shapes a competitive environment where agility and responsiveness are paramount.

In November Lockheed Martin (US) announced a strategic partnership with a leading tech firm to integrate AI capabilities into its small arms systems. This move is likely to enhance operational efficiency and improve targeting accuracy, reflecting a broader trend towards the incorporation of advanced technologies in defense applications. Such innovations may redefine operational paradigms within the market.

In October Rheinmetall (DE) secured a significant contract with a European nation for the supply of advanced small arms, marking a pivotal expansion in its portfolio. This contract not only underscores Rheinmetall's commitment to meeting the growing demand for modernized defense solutions but also positions the company as a key player in the European defense landscape, potentially influencing regional security dynamics.

In September SIG Sauer (DE) launched a new line of modular firearms designed for versatility in various combat scenarios. This product introduction aligns with the increasing demand for adaptable weaponry among military forces, suggesting that SIG Sauer is strategically positioning itself to capture a larger market share by addressing specific operational needs of its clients.

As of December the Small Arms Market is witnessing trends such as digitalization, sustainability, and AI integration, which are reshaping competitive dynamics. Strategic alliances are becoming increasingly vital, enabling companies to pool resources and expertise to innovate more effectively. The competitive differentiation is likely to evolve from traditional price-based competition towards a focus on technological innovation, supply chain reliability, and sustainability, indicating a transformative shift in how companies approach market challenges.

Key Companies in the Small Arms Market include

Industry Developments

Homeland Security

Future Outlook

Small Arms Market Future Outlook

The Small Arms Market is projected to grow at a 5.52% CAGR from 2025 to 2035, driven by increasing defense budgets, rising civilian demand, and technological advancements.

New opportunities lie in:

  • Development of smart firearms with integrated safety features.
  • Expansion into emerging markets with tailored product offerings.
  • Investment in advanced manufacturing technologies for cost reduction.

By 2035, the Small Arms Market is expected to achieve robust growth, reflecting evolving consumer and defense sector needs.

Market Segmentation

Small Arms Market Type Outlook

  • Handguns
  • Rifles
  • Shotguns
  • Submachine Guns

Small Arms Market Caliber Outlook

  • Small Caliber
  • Medium Caliber
  • Large Caliber

Small Arms Market Material Outlook

  • Steel
  • Aluminum
  • Polymer
  • Composite

Small Arms Market Application Outlook

  • Military
  • Law Enforcement
  • Civilian

Small Arms Market Operation Mechanism Outlook

  • Manual
  • Semi-Automatic
  • Automatic

Report Scope

MARKET SIZE 202410057.69(USD Million)
MARKET SIZE 202510612.9(USD Million)
MARKET SIZE 203518163.18(USD Million)
COMPOUND ANNUAL GROWTH RATE (CAGR)5.52% (2025 - 2035)
REPORT COVERAGERevenue Forecast, Competitive Landscape, Growth Factors, and Trends
BASE YEAR2024
Market Forecast Period2025 - 2035
Historical Data2019 - 2024
Market Forecast UnitsUSD Million
Key Companies ProfiledLockheed Martin (US), Northrop Grumman (US), General Dynamics (US), BAE Systems (GB), Rheinmetall (DE), Thales Group (FR), FN Herstal (BE), SIG Sauer (DE), Beretta (IT)
Segments CoveredApplication, Type, Caliber, Material, Operation Mechanism
Key Market OpportunitiesIntegration of advanced technologies in the Small Arms Market enhances operational efficiency and user safety.
Key Market DynamicsEvolving regulatory frameworks and technological advancements reshape competitive dynamics in the Small Arms Market.
Countries CoveredNorth America, Europe, APAC, South America, MEA

Market Highlights

Author
Sejal Akre
Senior Research Analyst

She has over 5 years of rich experience, in market research and consulting providing valuable market insights to client. Hands on expertise in management consulting, and extensive knowledge in domain including ICT, Automotive & Transportation and Aerospace & Defense. She is skilled in Go-to market strategy, industry analysis, market sizing, in depth company profiling, competitive intelligence & benchmarking and value chain amongst others.

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FAQs

How much is the Small Arms market?

The Small Arms Market size is expected to be valued at USD 9533.36 Million in 2023.

What is the growth rate of the Small Arms market?

The global market is projected to grow at a CAGR of 5.5% during the forecast period, 2024-2032.

Which region held the largest market share in the Small Arms market?

North America had the largest share of the global market.

Who are the key players in the Small Arms market?

The key players in the market are Accuracy International Ltd,American Outdoor Brands Corporation, Beretta Holding SpA, Colt's Manufacturing Company, LLC, Glock Ges.M.B.H, Heckler & Koch GmbH, Herstal SA, Remington Outdoor Company, Steyr Arms GmbH, Sturm, Ruger & Co., Inc.

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