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    US Air Condition Market

    ID: MRFR/CR/11834-HCR
    128 Pages
    Pradeep Nandi
    October 2025

    US Air Condition Market Research Report By Application (Commercial, Residential, Institutional, Industrial, Others), By Product Type (Split, Rooftop, Indoor packaged, Chillers air conditioner, Others) and By Ducts (Ductless, Ducted) - Forecast to 2035

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    US Air Condition Market Infographic
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    US Air Condition Market Summary

    As per MRFR analysis, the US air conditioning market size was estimated at 23.71 USD Billion in 2024. The US air condition market is projected to grow from 25.35 USD Billion in 2025 to 49.46 USD Billion by 2035, exhibiting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 6.91% during the forecast period 2025 - 2035.

    Key Market Trends & Highlights

    The US air conditioning market is experiencing a transformative shift towards smart technology and energy efficiency.

    • The largest segment in the US air conditioning market is residential cooling solutions, driven by increasing consumer demand.
    • The fastest-growing segment is the commercial air conditioning sector, reflecting rising urbanization and infrastructure development.
    • There is a notable trend towards customization and personalization in air conditioning systems to meet diverse consumer preferences.
    • Key market drivers include the regulatory push for environmental standards and technological advancements in HVAC systems.

    Market Size & Forecast

    2024 Market Size 23.71 (USD Billion)
    2035 Market Size 49.46 (USD Billion)

    Major Players

    Daikin Industries (JP), Carrier Global Corporation (US), Trane Technologies (IE), Mitsubishi Electric (JP), LG Electronics (KR), Samsung Electronics (KR), Hitachi (JP), Gree Electric Appliances (CN), Fujitsu General (JP)

    US Air Condition Market Trends

    The air condition market is currently experiencing a notable transformation driven by advancements in technology and increasing consumer awareness regarding energy efficiency. As environmental concerns gain prominence, manufacturers are focusing on developing systems that not only provide comfort but also minimize energy consumption. This shift is evident in the rising popularity of smart air conditioning units, which offer enhanced control and efficiency through connectivity features. Furthermore, the integration of eco-friendly refrigerants is becoming a standard practice, aligning with regulatory measures aimed at reducing greenhouse gas emissions. In addition to technological innovations, the air condition market is witnessing a growing trend towards customization and personalization. Consumers are increasingly seeking solutions that cater to their specific needs, whether it be through variable speed compressors or tailored installation options. This demand for personalized systems is prompting manufacturers to offer a wider range of products, ensuring that customers can find solutions that fit their unique requirements. Overall, the air condition market is evolving to meet the changing preferences of consumers while addressing environmental challenges, indicating a dynamic future ahead.

    Rise of Smart Technology

    The integration of smart technology in air conditioning systems is becoming increasingly prevalent. These units allow users to control settings remotely, monitor energy usage, and receive maintenance alerts, enhancing convenience and efficiency.

    Focus on Energy Efficiency

    There is a growing emphasis on energy-efficient models within the air condition market. Consumers are more inclined to invest in systems that reduce energy consumption, driven by both cost savings and environmental considerations.

    Customization and Personalization

    The demand for customized air conditioning solutions is on the rise. Consumers are seeking systems that can be tailored to their specific needs, leading manufacturers to offer a broader range of options and features.

    US Air Condition Market Drivers

    Technological Advancements in HVAC Systems

    Technological advancements play a crucial role in shaping the air condition market, particularly in the development of HVAC (Heating, Ventilation, and Air Conditioning) systems. Innovations such as variable refrigerant flow (VRF) technology and smart thermostats are enhancing system efficiency and user experience. In 2025, it is anticipated that smart HVAC systems will capture a significant portion of the market, driven by their ability to optimize energy usage and provide real-time data to users. This trend indicates a shift towards more integrated and intelligent systems, which not only improve comfort but also reduce operational costs. As consumers become more tech-savvy, the demand for advanced HVAC solutions in the air condition market is likely to grow.

    Regulatory Push for Environmental Standards

    The air condition market is significantly influenced by regulatory frameworks aimed at reducing environmental impact. In recent years, the US government has implemented stricter regulations regarding refrigerants and energy consumption. For instance, the phase-out of high-GWP (Global Warming Potential) refrigerants is pushing manufacturers to develop more eco-friendly alternatives. By 2025, it is projected that compliance with these regulations will drive a shift towards low-GWP refrigerants, which could account for over 50% of the market share. This regulatory push not only encourages innovation but also aligns with the growing consumer preference for sustainable products, thereby shaping the future landscape of the air condition market.

    Consumer Awareness and Health Considerations

    Consumer awareness regarding the health implications of indoor air quality is increasingly influencing the air condition market. As individuals become more informed about the effects of poor air quality on health, there is a growing demand for air conditioning systems that not only cool but also purify the air. In 2025, it is estimated that air purifying features will be a standard expectation in new air conditioning units, reflecting a shift in consumer priorities. This heightened awareness is prompting manufacturers to innovate and incorporate advanced filtration technologies into their products. Consequently, the air condition market is likely to see a rise in demand for systems that promote both comfort and health, aligning with consumer expectations.

    Rising Urbanization and Infrastructure Development

    Urbanization is a key driver impacting the air condition market, as more individuals migrate to urban areas in search of better opportunities. This trend leads to increased construction of residential and commercial buildings, which in turn drives demand for air conditioning systems. By 2025, urban areas are expected to house over 80% of the US population, necessitating efficient climate control solutions in densely populated regions. Additionally, infrastructure development projects often include modern HVAC systems as standard, further propelling market growth. The air condition market is thus positioned to benefit from this urban expansion, as new buildings require advanced cooling solutions to meet the needs of their inhabitants.

    Increasing Demand for Residential Cooling Solutions

    The air condition market experiences a notable surge in demand for residential cooling solutions, driven by rising temperatures and changing climate patterns. As average summer temperatures in the US have increased, homeowners are increasingly investing in air conditioning systems to ensure comfort. In 2025, it is estimated that approximately 90% of US households utilize some form of air conditioning, reflecting a significant shift in consumer preferences. This trend is further supported by the growing awareness of health risks associated with extreme heat, prompting families to prioritize climate control. Consequently, manufacturers in the air condition market are responding by innovating and expanding their product lines to cater to this increasing demand, thereby enhancing their market presence.

    Market Segment Insights

    By Application: Commercial (Largest) vs. Residential (Fastest-Growing)

    In the US air condition market, the distribution of market share among various applications reveals that the commercial segment holds the largest share. This is largely due to the substantial demand from office spaces, retail environments, and other commercial establishments requiring reliable cooling solutions. The residential segment, although smaller in comparison, is witnessing a rapid expansion due to an increase in housing developments and consumer preferences for energy-efficient systems. Growth trends in the application segment indicate that the residential sector is emerging as the fastest-growing segment, propelled by factors such as heightened awareness of indoor air quality and the rise in smart home technologies. Additionally, government incentives for energy-efficient appliances are driving the market forward, fostering innovation and investment in residential air conditioning solutions. This trend is encouraging significant competition among manufacturers aiming to capitalize on the burgeoning demand.

    Commercial: Dominant vs. Residential: Emerging

    The commercial segment of the US air condition market is characterized by a strong emphasis on advanced technological features to cater to larger spaces and higher cooling demands. Commercial air conditioning systems often include centralized units capable of servicing multiple zones, ensuring energy efficiency and comfort in a variety of settings. On the other hand, the residential segment is emerging rapidly, driven by consumer preference for compact and energy-efficient systems. This segment is increasingly adopting smart technologies, allowing homeowners to control their cooling systems remotely. As the market evolves, both segments are witnessing innovations that enhance user experience, but commercial remains predominant due to its established presence in various industries.

    By Product Type: Split (Largest) vs. Chillers ACs (Fastest-Growing)

    In the US air condition market, the Split segment holds the largest market share, dominating the overall landscape with its widespread adoption in residential and commercial applications. Rooftop and Indoor packaged units follow, driven by their versatility and ease of installation. Chillers ACs, while smaller in share, are gaining traction due to increasing needs in large-scale cooling systems and energy efficiency, contributing to the continuous evolution of market preferences. The growth trends indicate a strong preference for Split units, attributed to their energy efficiency and performance. Meanwhile, Chillers ACs are becoming the fastest-growing segment, reflecting advancements in technology and increasing awareness of sustainable cooling solutions. The rising temperature levels and subsequent demand for efficient air conditioning continue to propel these segments forward, emphasizing the importance of innovative designs and environmentally friendly options.

    Rooftop (Dominant) vs. Indoor Packaged (Emerging)

    Rooftop air conditioners are a dominant segment in the market, preferred for their efficiency in commercial buildings and industrial applications where space is premium. Their installation on rooftops not only saves ground space but also enhances the aesthetic value of buildings. These units are recognized for their robust performance under varying weather conditions. In contrast, Indoor packaged units are emerging favorites owing to their compact design and versatility suitable for different interior settings. They provide an effective solution for space constraints in urban areas, catering especially to residential users seeking convenience without sacrificing comfort. Both segments reflect the evolving dynamics of consumer preferences towards innovation and efficiency in the US air condition market.

    By Ducts: Ductless (Largest) vs. Ducted (Fastest-Growing)

    In the US air condition market, the ductless segment holds a significant share, leading the market due to its energy efficiency and ease of installation. This segment appeals particularly to homeowners looking for flexible cooling solutions without the need for extensive ductwork. Conversely, the ducted air conditioning systems also maintain a notable presence, catering to larger spaces and whole-home cooling, but they lag behind in overall market share compared to ductless systems. Growth trends indicate that ductless air conditioning is experiencing increased adoption, particularly in urban areas, where space constraints and energy efficiency are critical factors. The rise in demand for sustainable living solutions and advancements in technology are driving this segment forward. Meanwhile, ducted systems are also seeing innovations that enhance their performance and energy efficiency, contributing to a sustained growth trajectory in specific markets.

    Ductless (Dominant) vs. Ducted (Emerging)

    The ductless segment is characterized by its innovative technology that allows for personalized temperature control in individual rooms, which appeals to a wide range of consumers, including those in urban environments where space is limited. Its growing popularity is driven by rising awareness of energy efficiency and lower operational costs. On the other hand, the ducted segment remains an emerging choice for larger residential projects, owing to its capability to provide uniform cooling across extensive spaces. As building designs evolve and retrofitting technologies improve, ducted systems are increasingly recognized for their potential to deliver enhanced comfort and efficiency, making them a competitive option in the US air condition market.

    Get more detailed insights about US Air Condition Market

    Key Players and Competitive Insights

    The air conditioning market in the US is characterized by a competitive landscape that is increasingly shaped by innovation, sustainability, and digital transformation. Key players such as Carrier Global Corporation (US), Daikin Industries (JP), and Trane Technologies (IE) are actively pursuing strategies that emphasize energy efficiency and advanced technology integration. Carrier Global Corporation (US) has positioned itself as a leader in smart HVAC solutions, focusing on IoT-enabled systems that enhance user experience and operational efficiency. Meanwhile, Daikin Industries (JP) continues to expand its product offerings with a strong emphasis on environmentally friendly refrigerants, which aligns with growing regulatory pressures and consumer preferences for sustainable solutions. Trane Technologies (IE) is also making strides in this area, promoting its commitment to reducing carbon emissions through innovative product designs and sustainable practices.

    The business tactics employed by these companies reflect a concerted effort to optimize supply chains and localize manufacturing. The market structure appears moderately fragmented, with several players vying for market share while also collaborating on sustainability initiatives. This competitive environment is further influenced by the collective actions of these key players, who are increasingly focused on enhancing their operational efficiencies and product offerings to meet evolving consumer demands.

    In October 2025, Carrier Global Corporation (US) announced a strategic partnership with a leading technology firm to develop AI-driven HVAC systems. This collaboration is expected to enhance predictive maintenance capabilities, thereby reducing downtime and improving energy efficiency. Such a move underscores Carrier's commitment to leveraging technology to maintain its competitive edge in a rapidly evolving market.

    In September 2025, Daikin Industries (JP) launched a new line of air conditioning units that utilize next-generation refrigerants with lower global warming potential. This initiative not only positions Daikin as a frontrunner in sustainability but also responds to increasing regulatory scrutiny regarding refrigerant use. The strategic importance of this launch lies in its potential to capture environmentally conscious consumers and comply with stringent environmental regulations.

    In August 2025, Trane Technologies (IE) unveiled its latest energy-efficient HVAC system designed for commercial applications. This system incorporates advanced sensors and IoT technology to optimize energy consumption based on real-time data. The introduction of this product reflects Trane's ongoing commitment to innovation and its strategic focus on meeting the needs of businesses seeking to reduce operational costs while enhancing sustainability.

    As of November 2025, the air conditioning market is witnessing a pronounced shift towards digitalization, sustainability, and AI integration. Strategic alliances among key players are increasingly shaping the competitive landscape, fostering innovation and collaboration. The evolution of competitive differentiation appears to be moving away from price-based competition towards a focus on technological advancements, reliability in supply chains, and sustainable practices. This trend suggests that companies that prioritize innovation and environmental responsibility are likely to thrive in the future.

    Key Companies in the US Air Condition Market market include

    Industry Developments

    The US Air Conditioning Market has recently seen significant developments, particularly with escalating consumer demand due to rising temperatures and a growing emphasis on energy efficiency. In October 2023, LG Electronics announced enhancements to their energy-efficient HVAC systems aimed at reducing environmental impact while increasing consumer comfort. Goodman Manufacturing has also experienced notable growth, driven by innovations in ductless systems. Meanwhile, Johnson Controls reported advancements in smart technology integration within their HVAC units. In terms of mergers and acquisitions, Daikin North America acquired Mitsubishi Electric's HVAC business unit in November 2023, consolidating their position in the market.

    Lennox International has also announced an investment in Research and Development to advance their offerings in residential air conditioning. The market valuation for companies like Trane Technologies and Carrier has been positively influenced by these trends, reflecting their adaptability to emerging technologies and consumer demands. Over the past few years, the market has witnessed trends toward greener technologies, with Panasonic Corporation and Rheem Manufacturing focusing on sustainable solutions amidst regulatory changes encouraging energy-efficient appliances in heating and cooling sectors.

    Future Outlook

    US Air Condition Market Future Outlook

    The air condition market is projected to grow at a 6.91% CAGR from 2024 to 2035, driven by rising energy efficiency demands, climate change awareness, and technological advancements.

    New opportunities lie in:

    • Development of smart HVAC systems integrating IoT technology.
    • Expansion into energy-efficient retrofitting services for existing buildings.
    • Launch of subscription-based maintenance plans for residential air conditioning units.

    By 2035, the air condition market is expected to be robust, driven by innovation and sustainability.

    Market Segmentation

    US Air Condition Market Ducts Outlook

    • Ductless
    • Ducted

    US Air Condition Market Application Outlook

    • Commercial
    • Residential
    • Institutional
    • Industrial
    • Others

    US Air Condition Market Product Type Outlook

    • Split
    • Rooftop
    • Indoor packaged
    • Chillers ACs
    • Others

    Report Scope

    MARKET SIZE 2024 23.71(USD Billion)
    MARKET SIZE 2025 25.35(USD Billion)
    MARKET SIZE 2035 49.46(USD Billion)
    COMPOUND ANNUAL GROWTH RATE (CAGR) 6.91% (2024 - 2035)
    REPORT COVERAGE Revenue Forecast, Competitive Landscape, Growth Factors, and Trends
    BASE YEAR 2024
    Market Forecast Period 2025 - 2035
    Historical Data 2019 - 2024
    Market Forecast Units USD Billion
    Key Companies Profiled Daikin Industries (JP), Carrier Global Corporation (US), Trane Technologies (IE), Mitsubishi Electric (JP), LG Electronics (KR), Samsung Electronics (KR), Hitachi (JP), Gree Electric Appliances (CN), Fujitsu General (JP)
    Segments Covered Application, Product Type, Ducts
    Key Market Opportunities Integration of smart technology and energy efficiency in air conditioning systems presents a growing market opportunity.
    Key Market Dynamics Rising energy efficiency standards drive innovation and competition in the air conditioning market.
    Countries Covered US

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    FAQs

    What is the expected market size of the US Air Condition Market in 2024?

    The US Air Condition Market is projected to be valued at 23.5 billion USD in 2024.

    What will the market value of the US Air Condition Market be in 2035?

    By 2035, the US Air Condition Market is expected to reach a valuation of 49.2 billion USD.

    What is the compound annual growth rate (CAGR) for the US Air Condition Market from 2025 to 2035?

    The expected CAGR for the US Air Condition Market during the period from 2025 to 2035 is 6.948%.

    Which segment has the largest market share in the US Air Condition Market?

    The Residential segment is expected to be one of the largest market segments with a value of 9.0 billion USD in 2024.

    What is the projected market size for the Commercial segment by 2035?

    The Commercial segment of the US Air Condition Market is projected to be valued at 17.5 billion USD by 2035.

    Who are the key players in the US Air Condition Market?

    Key players include LG Electronics, Goodman Manufacturing, Johnson Controls, and Trane Technologies, among others.

    What is the growth rate for the Institutional segment from 2024 to 2035?

    The Institutional segment is anticipated to grow from 2.5 billion USD in 2024 to 5.3 billion USD by 2035.

    What opportunities exist within the US Air Condition Market?

    There are significant growth opportunities in energy-efficient technologies and smart air conditioning systems.

    How does the Industrial segment perform in terms of market size in 2024?

    The Industrial segment is expected to be valued at 2.0 billion USD in 2024.

    What are the expected challenges impacting the US Air Condition Market?

    Challenges include rising raw material costs and regulatory compliance related to energy efficiency.

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