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Residential Ducted Heat Pump Market Research Report: By Heat Source (Air Source, Water Source, Geothermal Source), By Capacity (Less than 5 Tons, 5 to 10 Tons, 10 to 15 Tons, 15 to 20 Tons, 20 Tons or more), By Control Type (Remote Control, Zoned Control, Smart Control), By Efficiency (Low Efficiency (SEER less than 15), Moderate Efficiency (SEER 15-18), High Efficiency (SEER 18-21), Ultra-High Efficiency (SEER 21 or greater)), By Distribution System (Ductwork, Plenum, Ceiling-Mounted) and By Regional (North America, Europe, South America,


ID: MRFR/IA - E/28684-HCR | 128 Pages | Author: Snehal Singh| October 2024

Residential Ducted Heat Pump Market Overview:


As per MRFR analysis, the Residential Ducted Heat Pump Market Size was estimated at 8.09 (USD Billion) in 2022.The Residential Ducted Heat Pump Market Industry is expected to grow from 8.57(USD Billion) in 2023 to 14.4 (USD Billion) by 2032. The Residential Ducted Heat Pump Market CAGR (growth rate) is expected to be around 5.94% during the forecast period (2024 - 2032).


Key Residential Ducted Heat Pump Market Trends Highlighted


The residential ducted heat pump market is poised for significant growth, driven by increasing demand for energy-efficient heating and cooling solutions. Technological advancements, such as variable speed compressors and inverter technology, have enhanced the efficiency and comfort of these systems. Moreover, government initiatives and incentives promoting sustainable energy practices are fueling market expansion.Key trends in the residential ducted heat pump market include the growing popularity of smart home integrations, as well as the adoption of eco-friendly refrigerants and sustainable manufacturing practices. Additionally, the market is witnessing a shift towards high-efficiency and multi-zone systems that offer customized comfort solutions for different areas of a home.Opportunities for market players lie in exploring innovative technologies, such as modulating compressors and geothermal heat pumps, to further enhance efficiency and reduce environmental impact. Customization and personalization of systems to meet specific consumer needs present another opportunity for growth. By leveraging these trends and opportunities, market participants can capitalize on the burgeoning demand for energy-efficient and sustainable residential ducted heat pump solutions.


Residential Ducted Heat Pump Market


Source: Primary Research, Secondary Research, MRFR Database and Analyst Review


Residential Ducted Heat Pump Market Drivers


Rising Energy Costs


One of the key drivers of the Global Residential Ducted Heat Pump Market Industry is the rising cost of energy. As the cost of traditional heating and cooling sources like natural gas and electricity continues to rise, consumers are more likely to turn to heat pumps as a more affordable alternative. Moreover, ducted heat pumps can provide both cooling and heating, which makes them a versatile and, thus, less costly option for homeowners. In addition, heat pumps are also more energy-efficient than traditional heating and cooling systems, meaning that consumers’ overall energy costs will be significantly lower with them.Overall, the rising cost of energy will likely constitute a driver of growth for the Global Residential Ducted Heat Pump Market Industry in the future.


Government Incentives


Another significant driver of the development of the Global Residential Ducted Heat Pump Market Industry is government incentives. In many countries, the government offers homeowners financial incentives for installing heat pumps. These incentives may come in the form of tax credits, rebates, or low-interest loans. These incentives make heat pumps more cost-effective for customers, which leads to a rise in the adoption of this technology. Government incentives are expected to remain a key growth driver for the Global Residential Ducted Heat Pump Market Industry in the years to come.


Increasing Awareness of Environmental Benefits


The increasing awareness of the environmental benefits of heat pumps is also driving the growth of the Global Residential Ducted Heat Pump Market Industry. Heat pumps are a more environmentally friendly alternative to traditional heating and cooling systems. They do not produce emissions, which can help to reduce air pollution and climate change. In addition, heat pumps can use renewable energy sources, such as solar and geothermal energy, to further reduce their environmental impact.The increasing awareness of the environmental benefits of heat pumps is expected to continue to be a major driver of growth for the Global Residential Ducted Heat Pump Market Industry in the coming years.


Residential Ducted Heat Pump Market Segment Insights


Residential Ducted Heat Pump Market Heat Source Insights


The Global Residential Ducted Heat Pump Market is segmented by Heat Sources into Air Sources, Water Sources, and Geothermal Sources. The Air Source segment is expected to hold the largest market share in 2023, accounting for over 60% of the Global Residential Ducted Heat Pump Market revenue. The growth of this segment can be attributed to the increasing demand for energy-efficient and cost-effective heating and cooling solutions. Air Source heat pumps offer a cost-effective way to heat and cool a home, as they use the outside air as a heat source or heat sink.They are also relatively easy to install and maintain, making them a popular choice for homeowners. The Water Source segment is expected to witness significant growth over the forecast period, owing to the increasing adoption of water-based heating and cooling systems. Water-source heat pumps use water as a heat source or heat sink, which makes them more efficient than Air Source heat pumps in areas with cold climates. The Geothermal Source segment is expected to grow at a steady pace over the forecast period, owing to the increasing awareness of the benefits of geothermal energy.Geothermal heat pumps use the heat from the earth as a heat source or heat sink, which makes them a very efficient and environmentally friendly heating and cooling solution. The Global Residential Ducted Heat Pump Market is driven by several factors, including the increasing demand for energy-efficient heating and cooling solutions, the growing adoption of smart home technologies, and the increasing awareness of the benefits of geothermal energy. The market is expected to witness significant growth in emerging economies, such as China, India, and Brazil, owing to the increasing demand for energy-efficient and cost-effective heating and cooling solutions in these regions.


Residential Ducted Heat Pump Market Segments


Source: Primary Research, Secondary Research, MRFR Database and Analyst Review


Residential Ducted Heat Pump Market Capacity Insights


The Global Residential Ducted Heat Pump Market is segmented by capacity, with categories including 'Less than 5 Tons', '5 to 10 Tons', '10 to 15 Tons', '15 to 20 Tons', and '20 Tons or more'. Among these, the '5 to 10 Tons' segment held the largest market share in 2023, accounting for approximately 40% of the global market revenue. This segment's dominance is attributed to the widespread use of 5 to 10-ton ducted heat pumps in residential applications, particularly in regions with moderate climates. The 'Less than 5 Tons' segment is projected to witness the highest growth rate during the forecast period, driven by the increasing adoption of energy-efficient solutions and government initiatives promoting sustainable heating and cooling systems.


Residential Ducted Heat Pump Market Control Type Insights


The Control Type segment holds significant importance in the Global Residential Ducted Heat Pump Market. It comprises three major categories: Remote Control, Zoned Control, and Smart Control. In 2023, the Remote Control segment dominated the market with a revenue share of around 45%. This dominance can be attributed to its cost-effectiveness, ease of use, and wide availability. The Zoned Control segment is projected to witness a steady growth rate during the forecast period, owing to its ability to provide customized temperature control in different zones of a building.This results in improved energy efficiency and enhanced comfort levels, driving its market growth. Smart Control is gaining traction due to its advanced features, such as remote access, programmable settings, and compatibility with smart home devices. Its ability to optimize energy consumption, monitor performance, and provide real-time insights is expected to fuel its adoption in the coming years. As per market data, the Smart Control segment is anticipated to reach a revenue of USD 2.5 billion by 2032, showcasing its increasing prominence in the Global Residential Ducted Heat Pump Market.


Residential Ducted Heat Pump Market Efficiency Insights


The efficiency segment plays a crucial role in shaping the Global Residential Ducted Heat Pump Market revenue. It is segmented into four sub-categories: Low Efficiency (SEER less than 15), Moderate Efficiency (SEER 15-18), High Efficiency (SEER 18-21), and Ultra-High Efficiency (SEER 21 or greater). In 2023, the Moderate Efficiency segment held the largest market share due to its cost-effectiveness and wide availability. However, the Ultra-High Efficiency segment is projected to witness the highest growth rate during the forecast period (2024-2032), driven by increasing consumer awareness about energy efficiency and government regulations favoring sustainable solutions.The growing demand for energy-efficient appliances and the rising adoption of smart home technologies are further contributing to the growth of the high-efficiency and ultra-high-efficiency segments.


Residential Ducted Heat Pump Market Distribution System Insights


The distribution system segment of the Global Residential Ducted Heat Pump Market is categorized into ductwork, plenum, and ceiling-mounted. Ductwork held the largest market share in 2023, accounting for over 55% of the total market revenue. The growth of the ductwork segment can be attributed to the increasing adoption of ducted heat pumps in residential applications, as they offer better temperature control and energy efficiency compared to traditional heating and cooling systems. Plenum is expected to witness the highest growth rate during the forecast period, owing to its ability to distribute air more evenly throughout a space, resulting in improved comfort levels.Ceiling-mounted systems are gaining popularity due to their compact design and ability to be installed in spaces with limited ceiling height. The Global Residential Ducted Heat Pump Market for the distribution system segment is expected to reach USD 1.2 billion by 2027, growing at a CAGR of 6.5% during the forecast period.


Residential Ducted Heat Pump Market Regional Insights


The Global Residential Ducted Heat Pump Market is segmented into North America, Europe, APAC, South America, and MEA. Among these regions, North America is expected to hold the largest market share in 2023, owing to the increasing adoption of energy-efficient heating and cooling systems in residential buildings. The region is also home to several leading manufacturers of residential ducted heat pumps, which further contributes to its dominance in the market. Europe is expected to be the second-largest market for residential ducted heat pumps, driven by government regulations promoting energy efficiency and the growing popularity of smart home technologies.The APAC region is expected to witness significant growth in the coming years due to rising disposable incomes and increasing awareness about the benefits of residential ducted heat pumps. South America and MEA are expected to be smaller markets for residential ducted heat pumps, but they are expected to grow steadily in the coming years.


Residential Ducted Heat Pump Market Regional


Source: Primary Research, Secondary Research, MRFR Database and Analyst Review


Residential Ducted Heat Pump Market Key Players And Competitive Insights:


Major players in the Residential Ducted Heat Pump Market industry are continuously striving to enhance their product portfolio and geographical presence. Strategic partnerships, collaborations, and mergers & acquisitions are key strategies adopted by leading Residential Ducted Heat Pump Market players to gain a competitive edge. Additionally, companies are focusing on developing innovative technologies and solutions to meet the evolving needs of customers. The Residential Ducted Heat Pump Market Competitive Landscape is characterized by the presence of both global and regional players. Key players are investing heavily in research and development to stay ahead of the competition and offer advanced products to customers.Daikin Industries, Ltd. is a leading player in the Residential Ducted Heat Pump Market, offering a comprehensive range of high-efficiency and innovative products. The company has a strong global presence and a reputation for delivering quality products and services. Daikin is focused on developing sustainable and environmentally friendly solutions that meet the growing demand for energy-efficient heating and cooling systems.Mitsubishi Electric Corporation is another prominent player in the Residential Ducted Heat Pump Market. The company offers a wide range of products that are designed to provide efficient heating and cooling solutions for homes of all sizes. Mitsubishi Electric is known for its advanced technology and commitment to customer satisfaction. The company has a strong distribution network and provides excellent technical support to its customers.


Key Companies in the Residential Ducted Heat Pump Market Include:



  • Lennox International

  • Mitsubishi Electri

  • O. Smith Corporation

  • Hisense Group

  • Midea Group

  • Haier

  • LG Electronics

  • Rheem Manufacturing Company

  • Carrier Global Corporation

  • Johnson Controls

  • Panasonic Corporation

  • Goodman Global

  • Daikin Industries

  • Gree Electric

  • Toshiba Carrier


Residential Ducted Heat Pump Market Industry Developments


The Global Residential Ducted Heat Pump Market is projected to reach USD 14.4 billion by 2032, exhibiting a CAGR of 5.94% during the forecast period. The market growth is attributed to the increasing demand for energy-efficient heating and cooling solutions, government regulations promoting sustainable practices, and rising concerns about environmental impact. Recent news developments include the launch of new products with advanced features, such as variable-speed compressors and smart controls, by leading players like Carrier and Lennox. Furthermore, the growing adoption of smart home technologies and the integration of heat pumps with renewable energy sources are expected to drive market expansion.


Residential Ducted Heat Pump Market Segmentation Insights



  • Residential Ducted Heat Pump Market Heat Source Outlook

    • Air Source

    • Water Source

    • Geothermal Source



  • Residential Ducted Heat Pump Market Capacity Outlook

    • Less than 5 Tons

    • 5 to 10 Tons

    • 10 to 15 Tons

    • 15 to 20 Tons

    • 20 Tons or more



  • Residential Ducted Heat Pump Market Control Type Outlook

    • Remote Control

    • Zoned Control

    • Smart Control



  • Residential Ducted Heat Pump Market Efficiency Outlook

    • Low Efficiency (SEER less than 15)

    • Moderate Efficiency (SEER 15-18)

    • High Efficiency (SEER 18-21)

    • Ultra-High Efficiency (SEER 21 or greater)



  • Residential Ducted Heat Pump Market Distribution System Outlook

    • Ductwork

    • Plenum

    • Ceiling-Mounted



  • Residential Ducted Heat Pump Market Regional Outlook

    • North America

    • Europe

    • South America

    • Asia Pacific

    • Middle East and Africa



Report Attribute/Metric Details
Market Size 2022 8.09(USD Billion)
Market Size 2023 8.57(USD Billion)
Market Size 2032 14.4(USD Billion)
Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) 5.94% (2024 - 2032)
Report Coverage Revenue Forecast, Competitive Landscape, Growth Factors, and Trends
Base Year 2023
Market Forecast Period 2024 - 2032
Historical Data 2019 - 2023
Market Forecast Units USD Billion
Key Companies Profiled Lennox International, Mitsubishi Electri, A. O. Smith Corporation, Hisense Group, Midea Group, Haier, LG Electronics, Rheem Manufacturing Company, Carrier Global Corporation, Johnson Controls, Panasonic Corporation, Goodman Global, Daikin Industries, Gree Electric, Toshiba Carrier
Segments Covered Heat Source, Capacity, Control Type, Efficiency, Distribution System, Regional
Key Market Opportunities Energy efficiency regulations Smart home integration Growing awareness of IAQ HVAC system upgrades Renovations and replacements.
Key Market Dynamics Increasing energy efficiency Rising demand for comfort cooling Government incentives Technological advancements Growing construction sector.
Countries Covered North America, Europe, APAC, South America, MEA


Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ) :

The Global Residential Ducted Heat Pump Market was valued at USD 8.57 billion in 2023.

The Global Residential Ducted Heat Pump Market is expected to grow at a CAGR of 5.94% from 2024 to 2032.

The Global Residential Ducted Heat Pump Market is expected to reach USD 14.4 billion by 2032.

North America is expected to dominate the Global Residential Ducted Heat Pump Market throughout the forecast period.

Increasing demand for energy-efficient heating and cooling solutions, rising environmental concerns, and government incentives for the adoption of renewable energy technologies are driving the growth of the market.

Key competitors in the market include Mitsubishi Electric, Daikin Industries, Carrier, Trane, and Lennox International.

Residential ducted heat pumps are primarily used for heating and cooling residential buildings.

High upfront costs and the availability of alternative heating and cooling technologies pose challenges to the market.

Growing awareness of energy efficiency, government initiatives, and technological advancements present opportunities for market growth.

The increasing adoption of smart home technologies and the growing demand for sustainable solutions are key trends in the market.

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